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Palisade Research's frominside.ai project, released today, features interviews with AI researchers from OpenAI, Google DeepMind, and Anthropic warning of superintelligence extinction risks.

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Home/Tech/AI researchers warn superintelligence carries extinction risks
VERIFIEDBy Xavier Rivera· ·1 min read

AI researchers warn superintelligence carries extinction risks

AI researchers from OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic warn in new videos that superintelligent systems carry a 10 percent or higher chance of causing human extinction. The interviews collected by Palisade Research underscore control challenges and researcher incentives around the technology.

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AI researchers warn superintelligence carries extinction risks
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TL;DRAI · 60 sec read

Interviews with a dozen current and former AI researchers highlight warnings that superintelligent systems could drive human extinction, with extinction risks estimated at 10 to 50 percent. Former researchers describe these systems as god-like and uncontrollable. The findings raise questions about researcher incentives and the dangers of continued development.

A dozen interviews with current and former AI researchers at OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic highlight warnings that superintelligent systems could drive human extinction.
He added that researchers do not know how to control such systems and that nobody would control them, describing the situation as exactly as dangerous as it sounds.
Researchers assign high probabilities to catastrophic outcomes. Geoffrey Irving, a former OpenAI and Google DeepMind employee, stated the chance of human extinction is about a coin flip. Neel Nanda, a Google DeepMind research scientist, said there is at least a 10 percent chance that AI causes human extinction, calling the figure ridiculously high.
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Former OpenAI researcher describes control challenges. Daniel Kokotajilo claimed superintelligent AI would be god-like powerful. He added that researchers do not know how to control such systems and that nobody would control them, describing the situation as exactly as dangerous as it sounds.
Nanda explained that he would quit if he did not believe his work reduced existential risks, noting that companies would continue building the systems regardless.
Participants address incentives and skepticism. Google researcher Mary Phuong said people should be suspicious of statements because she is paid by the lab. Nanda explained that he would quit if he did not believe his work reduced existential risks, noting that companies would continue building the systems regardless.
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Palisade Research compiles the interviews. The non-profit organization studying AIs' capabilities and motivations collected the videos and launched them on frominside.ai. The interviews include segments on whether the warnings represent hype or marketing and why researchers continue working on the technology.
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