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Home/Energy/IEA forecasts almost 4,800 gigawatts of new renewable capacity by 2031
VERIFIEDBy Xavier Rivera·Friday, November 6, 2026 at 7:46 PM AST·1.5 min read

IEA forecasts almost 4,800 gigawatts of new renewable capacity by 2031

The International Energy Agency forecasts almost 4,800 gigawatts of new renewable capacity from 2026 to 2031. It expects additions outside China to match advanced economies for the first time.

Source:International Energy Agency
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IEA forecasts almost 4,800 gigawatts of new renewable capacity by 2031
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TL;DRAI · 60 sec read

The IEA forecasts almost 4,800 gigawatts of new renewable power capacity from 2026 to 2031, almost 60 percent more than the previous six years. It expects additions outside China to match advanced economies for the first time. The grid queue rose to 3,000 gigawatts.

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The International Energy Agency has forecast almost 4,800 gigawatts of new renewable power capacity from 2026 to 2031.

The figure is in Renewables 2026. The agency says that addition is almost 60 percent more than the previous six years. Solar is set to account for more than three-quarters of the growth to 2031, followed by onshore wind. The page does not give a clock time.
Solar is set to account for more than three-quarters of the growth to 2031.

Growth outside China is the new line. For the first time, the agency expects renewable capacity added in emerging and developing economies outside China to match additions in advanced economies. China's share is set to fall from over 60 percent in 2025 to an average of 53 percent. India is set to more than double its renewable capacity by 2031.
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The agency names the cause. It says the faster pace follows market disruptions since the Iran war at the end of February, and that energy security, not only environmental policy, is now the main driver.
China's share is set to fall from over 60 percent in 2025 to an average of 53 percent.
Birol put a number on the power mix. "Today, they account for a third of global electricity generation; in the next five years, they will be getting closer to half of it," said IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol.
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The queue is the constraint. The agency says advanced-stage renewable and storage projects waiting for a grid connection rose 60 percent over the past year to 3,000 gigawatts. That is four times the wind and solar capacity connected last year.
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